NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986696e130923e1a464dc891f03e855d27f1d2af7fc6b041ca4ec2fa8caa134b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Lightning | 73c | 151,000$110,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…d7bdbacked Bruins | 27c | 151,000$40,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Bruins | 52c | 27,081$13,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,110.63 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Bruins | 65c | 21,455$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.23 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Bruins | 29c | 19,000$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,583.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 61c | 17,617$10,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,658.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…9313backed Bruins | 27c | 9,995$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…a7fcbacked Lightning | 73c | 9,953$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…7240backed Lightning | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 32c | 8,835$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.52 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lightning | 42c | 8,294$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.71 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…7a73backed Lightning | 71c | 7,002$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 36c | 5,265$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.43 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lightning | 53c | 4,361$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.46 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Lightning | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…0b0ebacked Lightning | 71c | 2,597$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Lightning | 70c | 2,442$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Bruins | 27c | 2,423$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 26c | 2,208$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…ee1cbacked Lightning | 73c | 2,200$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…8471backed Bruins | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 39c | 2,026$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Lightning | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…216cbacked Bruins | 79c | 1,597$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Lightning | 74c | 1,570$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f982backed Bruins | 27c | 1,299$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lightning | 71c | 1,240$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.4 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lightning | 25c | 1,190$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Lightning | 62c | 1,092$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.43 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Bruins | 37c | 990.34$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Bruins | 27c | 915.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 72c | 753.41$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.46 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins | 26c | 724.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.43 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lightning | 42c | 720.24$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Lightning | 42c | 600.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 16c | 598.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Bruins | 62c | 582.98$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lightning | 3c | 566.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Bruins | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bruins | 34c | 475.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.1 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Lightning | 24c | 408.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Bruins | 76c | 392.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 74c | 385$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bruins | 28c | 378.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.57 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…ccf7backed Bruins | 57c | 341.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 72c | 339.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bruins | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 39c | 299.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Lightning | 73c | 274.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 47c | 269.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bruins | 25c | 268.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Lightning | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Bruins | 30c | 264$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d6bebacked Lightning | 73c | 262.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c57ebacked Lightning | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…515cbacked Lightning | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Bruins | 78c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Lightning | 49c | 206.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…2ed5backed Bruins | 27c | 202.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Lightning | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 73c | 194.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bruins | 57c | 194.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 33c | 182.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…4123backed Lightning | 72c | 177.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…9cc7backed Lightning | 73c | 170$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Bruins | 33c | 167.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Lightning | 35c | 167.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…f0a2backed Lightning | 74c | 158.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Lightning | 69c | 155.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…ae78backed Bruins | 27c | 155$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…1d96backed Lightning | 73c | 155$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bruins | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Lightning | 67c | 148.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…c0d8backed Lightning | 73c | 147$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…fb5abacked Bruins | 27c | 147$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 54c | 142$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…6b01backed Lightning | 68c | 139$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…82c0backed Bruins | 32c | 139$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Lightning | 73c | 138$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Lightning | 41c | 130.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…9b0ebacked Lightning | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…264dbacked Bruins | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Bruins | 27c | 123$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…b35abacked Lightning | 73c | 123$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…2498backed Lightning | 73c | 121$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…fb01backed Bruins | 27c | 121$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…929dbacked Lightning | 73c | 121$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lightning | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…4852backed Bruins | 27c | 118.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 48c | 115.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…33e5backed Bruins | 62c | 112.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…7fd4backed Bruins | 27c | 109$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…de0abacked Lightning | 73c | 109$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…6dfbbacked Lightning | 73c | 103.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.