Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in Round 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd953bee182fffed64f311ec0542bdfee7e7fde6e60e3182d3108c34efd8272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,455$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,534$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…4688backed Yes | 7c | 1,442$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e8…fedebacked Yes | 6c | 1,257$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b464backed Yes | 8c | 904.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…3885backed Yes | 6c | 719.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…6e57backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…04d9backed Yes | 8c | 661.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…b3dfbacked Yes | 8c | 626.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked Yes | 7c | 601.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 5c | 597.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…3e78backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…230dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Yes | 11c | 460.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 430.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 9c | 392.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…18cdbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…0b1cbacked Yes | 6c | 332.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 15c | 326.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…9d71backed Yes | 6c | 314.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…db67backed Yes | 7c | 290.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…f412backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…1621backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…e26abacked Yes | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…d123backed Yes | 7c | 163.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…380dbacked Yes | 24c | 139.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in Round 7?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 1?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 3?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 4?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?No won
- Will the fight get canceled?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.