Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in Round 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431f285adb107c4f6fa0093fa70beac7ee016367f2a908a3aab9eb922ab41a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 15c | 2,047$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,037$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…df62backed Yes | 11c | 1,013$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…04d9backed Yes | 14c | 856.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…9c14backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 11c | 776.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 770.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bbefbacked Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…5772backed Yes | 13c | 602.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764e…4d31backed Yes | 12c | 566.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…af53backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…d3a4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4943…f7b4backed Yes | 11c | 451.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…49e7backed Yes | 11c | 438.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…858abacked Yes | 12c | 430.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 14c | 417.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…25ffbacked Yes | 10c | 401.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6848…af6bbacked Yes | 14c | 389.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 13c | 388.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…b3dfbacked Yes | 13c | 387.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…0b8abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…c68bbacked Yes | 13c | 371.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e21dbacked Yes | 14c | 364.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…258fbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…4b56backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…1516backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…a70dbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 10c | 247.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…be7cbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…8099backed Yes | 10c | 199.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d9…8263backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…16f5backed Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…e3edbacked Yes | 11c | 180.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 170.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…26b5backed Yes | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…923bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…ea83backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…ec1fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…94debacked Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 13c | 154.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…07a6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8de8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…3e78backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…380dbacked Yes | 16c | 135.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…039cbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…0670backed Yes | 12c | 120.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…b82bbacked Yes | 13c | 112.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…8237backed Yes | 13c | 103.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…d66ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…0194backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…a8bbbacked Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…6c57backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…c958backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…d637backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…8457backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in Round 3?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 1?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 4?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 7?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?No won
- Will the fight get canceled?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.