Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in Round 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6f28bc82faaafd7c96480451eb6ba0d57d56308cfaecfed74545472cfb16ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 11c | 5,794$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…ede6backed Yes | 2c | 4,213$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…c5b7backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,449$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…bbedbacked Yes | 13c | 2,189$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 17c | 1,799$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…6a6dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,459$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…8c5ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,274$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…0fc4backed Yes | 12c | 1,189$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 874.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 8c | 779.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…3b15backed Yes | 10c | 749$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…6403backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 684.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 11c | 659.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…7bb8backed Yes | 10c | 615.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x043b…abedbacked Yes | 14c | 577.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…0536backed Yes | 11c | 502.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bbefbacked Yes | 10c | 502.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…5cc6backed Yes | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Yes | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…123dbacked Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1858…77cfbacked Yes | 24c | 312.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…783fbacked Yes | 14c | 312.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…9f63backed Yes | 16c | 310.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 15c | 301.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…6c57backed Yes | 12c | 298.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…a39bbacked Yes | 12c | 256.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Yes | 10c | 255.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…c7afbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…5b2cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…16f5backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…99dcbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…c4aabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…22a9backed Yes | 11c | 221.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…295ebacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…aed8backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…9c8fbacked Yes | 11c | 194.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…60b1backed Yes | 10c | 192.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…8e07backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…f423backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 13c | 156$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 12c | 154.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 13c | 150.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…62aabacked Yes | 12c | 138.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764e…4d31backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 75c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…e937backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 124.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…3757backed Yes | 14c | 116.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…7300backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…34a7backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…0b36backed Yes | 10c | 105.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…60aebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…94debacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1868…fdc2backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…343ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…e486backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in Round 1?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 3?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 4?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 7?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?No won
- Will the fight get canceled?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.