Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in Round 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d6b59c9977c77a68b70c7364a25b21e37100014dab0d674595d6e89b212d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,142$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…080fbacked Yes | 11c | 945.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…9c14backed Yes | 11c | 908.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 735.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 7c | 670.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Yes | 9c | 586.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764e…4d31backed Yes | 9c | 581.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bbefbacked Yes | 10c | 503.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…5cc6backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…af53backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…25c0backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…04d9backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…3885backed Yes | 10c | 453.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…5b2cbacked Yes | 11c | 362.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…ae13backed Yes | 10c | 352.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…4b56backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 9c | 335.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 6c | 320.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 9c | 281.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked Yes | 8c | 262.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…b0b8backed Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d9…8263backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…716dbacked Yes | 9c | 201.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…c7afbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…ea83backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…9d71backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…8e07backed Yes | 10c | 195.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…f27dbacked Yes | 11c | 189.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…923bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…f5f4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…c4aabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…7865backed Yes | 9c | 153.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…8237backed Yes | 11c | 139.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…b82bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…b734backed Yes | 10c | 103.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…ae59backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…978abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…298bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…bc54backed Yes | 12c | 83.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in Round 4?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 1?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 3?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 7?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?No won
- Will the fight get canceled?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.