TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets65c15,273$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.0336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies34c15,185$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.6719650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb55f…6fd1backed Rockies28c9,999$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe52…4ae7backed Rockies28c9,998$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc523…0db2backed Mets72c9,995$7,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c6…46b3backed Mets72c9,992$7,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies28c8,961$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.071,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies29c7,374$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.1198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Rockies0c6,310$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Mets72c5,381$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Mets80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0009862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies28c4,254$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.161,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies1c3,519$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.418762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Rockies22c3,274$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.982650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies21c3,152$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.592,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets71c3,077$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.342,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Mets72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets71c2,754$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.1288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies2c2,716$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets72c2,644$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3232852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies25c2,228$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies1c2,060$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.025053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets74c1,828$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Mets58c1,726$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.669246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies42c1,549$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.4797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Mets76c1,328$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.637451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Mets71c1,326$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rockies46c1,086$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb1…eb96backed Mets71c1,050$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.492650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Rockies29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies25c1,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24522312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rockies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mets67c997.61$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6138245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mets71c747$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6361346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Mets74c743.62$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.173650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Mets72c722$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.167238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Mets72c717.36$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.865459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Rockies2c560$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.067935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rockies29c558.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9714047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…c481backed Mets69c538.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies28c517$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.761,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Mets80c502.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.933281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Mets72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404269%29 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Rockies15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Mets70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1489150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies16c467.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7452542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Rockies28c423.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.64740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies25c421.03$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies27c416.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.395,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rockies12c415.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.382488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2212862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Mets72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2211463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies31c306.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.531,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.054754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Rockies13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets73c274.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.922,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets73c274.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.472,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies19c257.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Rockies20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Mets72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Rockies28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18be…add4backed Mets72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rockies28c192$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7640352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Mets73c190.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.324864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rockies26c182.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.458530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets71c176$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a2…42e4backed Mets72c174.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Rockies29c165.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.953053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…ce76backed Rockies29c150.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.72951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x221a…1cadbacked Mets72c148.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.673148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Mets72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8922958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44f…9756backed Rockies29c137.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.82763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Rockies31c137.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.313941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd958…2ee0backed Mets72c130.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.642951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets71c123.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies20c119.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Rockies29c117.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.052948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets72c115$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bed…8a60backed Rockies29c107.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.123145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Rockies29c104.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.553148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Rockies30c102.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b8…e72dbacked Mets72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+71.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Mets71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Rockies29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Mets70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e1…8e76backed Mets72c89.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…ca82backed Rockies29c89.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.952650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a46…6e69backed Rockies29c88.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.792763%17 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf183…93e9backed Mets72c85.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Rockies24c84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1617732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Mets72c83.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4416472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Mets72c79.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.333243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.