MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159066a6f9e50f37679f788caec940e45a0cddcbe4afecb64a570c553f453e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof White Sox, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,173,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,207,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,173,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed White Sox | 29c | 872,388$255,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,949.24 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…761ebacked Mariners | 71c | 256,512$182,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,388.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 70c | 121,700$85,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,510 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 71c | 89,368$63,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,996.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Mariners | 71c | 84,186$59,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,666.59 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 71c | 53,613$38,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,547.77 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Mariners | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mariners | 72c | 38,720$27,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,023.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 70c | 34,000$23,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,059.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 69c | 32,785$22,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.81 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 70c | 25,600$18,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Mariners | 70c | 23,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked White Sox | 29c | 20,111$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Mariners | 71c | 18,333$13,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.57 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed White Sox | 29c | 16,714$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 67c | 15,845$10,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.47 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 71c | 13,870$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.3 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Mariners | 71c | 12,923$9,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Mariners | 71c | 11,301$8,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 59c | 9,505$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.13 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox | 28c | 8,964$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 70c | 8,183$5,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox | 27c | 8,044$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.82 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Mariners | 73c | 7,403$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 71c | 5,915$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.49 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners | 71c | 5,670$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.5 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 68c | 5,189$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 71c | 5,129$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed White Sox | 34c | 4,837$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.64 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Mariners | 66c | 4,742$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Mariners | 73c | 4,054$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 71c | 4,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Mariners | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 30c | 3,505$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.43 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 29c | 3,478$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.53 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 68c | 3,222$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.61 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed White Sox | 28c | 2,571$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…b998backed White Sox | 28c | 2,428$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 69c | 2,026$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked White Sox | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Mariners | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 71c | 1,972$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…54bcbacked Mariners | 71c | 1,902$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed White Sox | 30c | 1,850$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed White Sox | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mariners | 72c | 1,711$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 66c | 1,605$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.26 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mariners | 72c | 1,573$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mariners | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Mariners | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 77c | 1,498$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Mariners | 71c | 1,292$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.55 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Mariners | 72c | 1,115$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 70c | 1,112$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 66c | 1,080$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 70c | 1,069$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.73 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 66c | 1,032$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed White Sox | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Mariners | 73c | 944.56$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…20e8backed Mariners | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Mariners | 71c | 836.82$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 72c | 787.5$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 74c | 752.06$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Mariners | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked Mariners | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked Mariners | 71c | 749.93$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked White Sox | 19c | 735.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 29c | 717.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked White Sox | 30c | 649.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Mariners | 71c | 647.89$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 28c | 634.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed White Sox | 50c | 633.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 71c | 628.72$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Mariners | 71c | 560.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 71c | 559.65$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox | 28c | 552.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked White Sox | 29c | 540$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…6764backed White Sox | 39c | 531.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed White Sox | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Mariners | 71c | 491$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Mariners | 74c | 485$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed White Sox | 30c | 483.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 28c | 464$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Mariners | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mariners | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 72c | 402.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed White Sox | 35c | 393.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 27c | 391.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed White Sox | 30c | 381.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked White Sox | 48c | 376.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 74c | 373.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Mariners | 72c | 368.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 71c | 357.87$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 70c | 354$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Mariners | 64c | 353.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mariners | 72c | 349.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.