Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2acccf4cd437cc93cf7175c4245c4ab66ef1c887b5cfcea63a22c40d16013e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof FC Bayern Munchen, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 6,800$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 2,694$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.16 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 1,582$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 1,354$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 997.13$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Paris Basketball | 34c | 647.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Paris Basketball | 40c | 551.53$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 474.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Paris Basketball | 34c | 432.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Paris Basketball | 12c | 429.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 320$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 79c | 287$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 256.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball | 14c | 221.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 199.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 180.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 153.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Paris Basketball | 26c | 148.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 129.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 103.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Paris Basketball | 39c | 75.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 71.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paris Basketball | 33c | 60.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 56.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Paris Basketball | 44c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Paris Basketball | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paris Basketball | 27c | 50.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Paris Basketball | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 46.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Paris Basketball | 34c | 44.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Paris Basketball | 36c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Paris Basketball | 31c | 38.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…407dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FC Bayern Munchen | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.