TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Titans, Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffd6…9b1cbacked Titans51c98,127$49,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,994.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Jaguars56c37,294$20,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,321.274755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Titans0c34,360$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.367833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars49c13,753$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.1817823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars47c12,989$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,883.1144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3e…4422backed Titans51c10,000$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.173650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Titans0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Jaguars49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9825137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Jaguars51c9,801$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans51c8,397$4,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.439754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Jaguars48c8,000$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1403551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Jaguars51c7,828$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.783135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed Jaguars50c6,757$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+91.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Titans51c6,257$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.861533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jaguars49c6,161$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.49645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ed…ce43backed Titans50c5,732$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans1c5,326$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.514311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Jaguars79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0505459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars51c4,617$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.2260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Titans37c4,547$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.7622638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Jaguars49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Jaguars66c3,894$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.85650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Jaguars50c3,610$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.7711346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Jaguars49c2,020$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.418951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6084…79c6backed Titans52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Titans11c1,732$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.656634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans52c1,639$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Titans50c1,193$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Titans13c1,068$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2152828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jaguars49c1,000$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6910738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Jaguars50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jaguars67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d5c…aa03backed Titans50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Titans51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jaguars49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Titans52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Titans7c997.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.843452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa447…57a2backed Jaguars50c875.05$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e8…6022backed Titans50c875.05$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Jaguars51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3116275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91f2…6b1fbacked Jaguars77c691.98$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.232470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Titans35c588$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.84323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Titans45c516.88$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Titans54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Jaguars51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Titans5c467.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3711945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Jaguars50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Titans51c461.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.62466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Titans40c457.49$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2823850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Jaguars49c438.57$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5410345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Titans50c418$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2092055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Titans48c417.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2214022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jaguars49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Titans50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Jaguars50c398.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.048953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44cb…c402backed Titans51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd541…26bfbacked Jaguars51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79a2…10ecbacked Titans52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Titans8c370$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-84.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jaguars50c327.59$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7231854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Titans50c320.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.227041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jaguars72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Jaguars68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Titans51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Titans52c288.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Titans51c286.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0210463.5%66 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jaguars48c254.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9110842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jaguars56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Titans18c220.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.918650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Titans52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…becfbacked Titans50c204.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6e…8845backed Jaguars53c203.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Titans50c200.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jaguars51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9838459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Jaguars79c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Jaguars50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked Jaguars48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Jaguars49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Titans50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Jaguars50c198.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.734355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Jaguars52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.647252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Titans13c189.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.157627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Titans49c165.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0627339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Jaguars50c155.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.834334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Jaguars48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Titans16c123.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8ea6…672ebacked Jaguars59c118.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d52…96f9backed Titans19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a7c…1bfcbacked Titans43c100.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jaguars50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024160.6%146 W · 95 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Jaguars50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504372.1%31 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Jaguars52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jaguars50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Titans50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015145.7%69 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Titans18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Titans50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Jaguars55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Titans51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ce…17aebacked Jaguars52c97.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…82f1backed Titans50c97.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.