Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e333644380b798231b70575207cba7db576c0b5717ac5e57cb9e0910d2e4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,263$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 3,094$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 36c | 1,548$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,284$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 926.53$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.55 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 575$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.87 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 500.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 14c | 450$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 395$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 255.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 227.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 39c | 141.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 35c | 131.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 117.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed Yes | 20c | 110.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 38c | 86.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 48c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 52c | 53.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 53.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 52c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 35.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 32c | 31.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 27.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…10b3backed Yes | 49c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…f513backed No | 53c | 25.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…bdbabacked Yes | 49c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…e4ecbacked Yes | 49c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…5f20backed No | 53c | 20.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.