Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6244ceaec80ab2d99374b82584191c75a9160cd35f6a9f649b3f726667ef6806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c8e…c91bbacked Yes | 47c | 54,103$25,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,497.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 38,432$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,202.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 19,992$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,994.53 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 18,696$10,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,082.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 9,212$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 44c | 6,855$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 6,278$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 4,705$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 3,075$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.84 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 9c | 2,638$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.58 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 1,387$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.34 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 7c | 700$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 680.88$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.61 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 22c | 676.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 582$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 70c | 428.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 47c | 425.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 70c | 160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 120.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 103.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 41c | 96.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 74.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 38.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 51c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 51c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…8755backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 17.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 77c | 13.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.