TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$670,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed Yes50c496,025$247,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248,385.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed No51c150,000$76,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No49c90,477$44,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,333.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No50c85,451$42,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,725.26850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No51c25,993$13,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,256.423756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c25,819$12,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,908.7852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c25,332$12,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,666.1962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed No51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c18,430$9,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,070.1235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes51c17,097$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,365.813756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c16,282$8,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,169.5687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No49c15,920$7,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800.84940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes49c13,888$6,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,082.916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No49c8,907$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes79c7,302$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.556942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c7,073$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.621,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No51c6,125$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.755156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No15c5,816$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8741154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c5,571$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.611,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No16c4,684$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No49c4,438$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.021952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No24c3,921$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3924642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No13c3,696$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.415040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c2,573$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.4771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No51c2,482$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.744856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Yes48c2,413$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c2,317$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes48c2,196$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No51c2,159$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1011952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No52c2,129$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes47c1,991$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.9814654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No49c1,958$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.3311355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.086141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3433748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c683.76$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes49c666$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No23c631.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.220232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No52c612.77$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.641030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed No51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed No52c538.46$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3d80backed Yes48c489$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No49c420$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c386.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No23c332.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c314.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.417756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No16c227.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.964330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No51c204.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Yes50c199.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed No32c185.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No19c185$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.152536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed No30c168.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No19c165.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No52c156.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes52c145.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No53c143$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.