Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3d4667145f2affb6433276f30876d5c902ca3be5b8b7965804079e6d9b0c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 76c | 16,881$12,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.59 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 9,816$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 3,674$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 3,250$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.49 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,424$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 9c | 1,002$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 974$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 76c | 388.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 21c | 384$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 345.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 174.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 109.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 63.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked Yes | 25c | 59.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…ae78backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c51fbacked Yes | 25c | 57.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…56efbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…fd7bbacked Yes | 25c | 55.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…0558backed Yes | 25c | 52.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…9066backed Yes | 25c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…f500backed Yes | 25c | 48.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b3a8backed Yes | 25c | 47.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…121fbacked Yes | 25c | 47.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 24c | 46.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4dcbbacked Yes | 25c | 42.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…0bb4backed No | 76c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017a…caffbacked No | 76c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…47e8backed No | 76c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…45a9backed No | 77c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…eafbbacked No | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…bae4backed No | 76c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…3756backed No | 76c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…7307backed No | 76c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…5982backed No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…d941backed No | 76c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…4045backed No | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…4b80backed No | 76c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…9295backed No | 76c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…5d4dbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…5e33backed No | 76c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…865dbacked No | 76c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…9e14backed No | 76c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…02b7backed No | 76c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…e517backed No | 76c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…ec70backed No | 76c | 17.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…7133backed No | 76c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…e4ecbacked No | 77c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…7c00backed No | 77c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fe…414cbacked No | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b0dcbacked No | 76c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…4c7ebacked No | 76c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…bd8cbacked No | 76c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…dc38backed No | 76c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…1921backed No | 76c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…2b98backed No | 76c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…d234backed No | 76c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…33f9backed No | 76c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3abcbacked No | 76c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…dbdabacked No | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e3…47cebacked No | 76c | 13.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.