TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4167…2427backed No56c45,000$25,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,099.944738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes43c26,172$11,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,787.6518758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes47c5,987$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.154062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c3,768$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.4730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No48c2,227$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.116950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes44c2,100$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes43c1,624$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.4317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e6…c8d3backed No17c1,487$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes51c1,211$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8424963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes45c1,121$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.498345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c6…dbdebacked Yes42c980$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6948…4370backed No58c820$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Yes57c754.1$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed No52c723$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No53c691.45$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4718950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes45c624.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.368040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes53c614.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.044040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Yes47c600.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Yes65c547.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No56c499.94$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9634449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c408$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes44c399$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4420667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…22ddbacked Yes44c365.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes47c325$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.254332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes41c312.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No59c300$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa58a…9690backed No56c259.38$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes44c246.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.332055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No56c232$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No60c224.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3822054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d0…5081backed Yes46c179.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No53c163.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1516036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf82…c406backed Yes43c161.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.47640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked No46c151.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a94…56edbacked No58c145$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.666643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7732…fa11backed Yes45c113.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed No59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes45c100.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.311060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes46c100.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.016056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No54c95.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9969…7fc6backed Yes71c94.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee9…b637backed No54c92.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No56c62.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.886123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes45c58.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.023243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed No54c54.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdb…88c5backed Yes59c54.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1922847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a2…71e2backed No55c51.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6497…f1e8backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No55c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Yes44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b37…80cdbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a84dbacked Yes43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked Yes46c44.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x103c…232bbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No54c42.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.156858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5526443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9861…1603backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e276backed No56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…b0e5backed No58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+56.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed No55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Yes47c24.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked No59c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.576376.2%48 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x393d…7084backed No57c20.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.