Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06105d6e61755e4be4b799c5e7f6ae01f274fd1d485f371bec3f0c13c9c867fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 12,753$7,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.62 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdc…a66ebacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,586$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.28 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,216$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.01 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 56c | 1,770$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.43 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 44c | 1,536$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.34 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 56c | 999$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 43c | 756.64$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.64 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 45c | 705.76$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.17 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 637.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.79 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes | 44c | 564$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 50c | 549.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.49 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 32c | 507.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 45c | 501.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 45c | 480.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 56c | 301.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 52c | 245.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 42c | 142.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Yes | 44c | 141$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Yes | 47c | 139.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 58c | 136.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 58c | 130.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes | 44c | 119$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 105.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed No | 58c | 105.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 42c | 81.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…f06ebacked No | 80c | 75.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 47c | 74.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 42c | 73.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 56c | 52.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 42c | 45.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 45c | 43.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 43c | 40.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8749…202bbacked Yes | 61c | 31.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 52c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 52c | 21.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…bbefbacked No | 56c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.