TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed No39c17,515$6,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,848.513863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes69c12,104$8,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.9219453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa628…1943backed No1c11,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+172.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Yes59c7,852$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No31c6,279$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.374738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No32c5,269$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.223942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Yes69c4,720$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes64c3,268$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.4930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes59c3,214$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No30c3,195$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.9618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes73c2,634$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.084746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c2,274$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.0540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked No43c1,531$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes70c1,469$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2622847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes54c1,458$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.4313232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7846…befdbacked No31c1,441$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes66c1,332$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes68c1,203$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.868345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes59c1,166$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes69c1,034$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.895350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes64c970.98$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.544242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes74c945.74$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8912147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes70c852.56$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.961770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9641…ac5abacked Yes65c846.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.296527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes69c726.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0416447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…f85abacked Yes69c710.52$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes70c677$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes69c652.17$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes71c650.7$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.75038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe560…11f0backed Yes68c600.66$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf488…b954backed Yes71c567.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.251450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c533$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5620667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes71c528.43$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.455545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No31c428.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.889540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes67c399.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9913333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a1…d723backed No31c317.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No29c314.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12da…9dc2backed No33c303.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes67c299.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No30c297.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.146558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.864639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa539…c472backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8b…e150backed Yes70c243.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Yes69c239.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a2…e37cbacked Yes66c230.39$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes66c180.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Yes69c173.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.912850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes79c169.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5126443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Yes70c145$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes72c138.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.923745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes66c133.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.331850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes71c131.37$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.923562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Yes68c119.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Yes70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Yes67c110.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.622272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes67c104.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.647556%42 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes66c101.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes69c101.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0914655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ad…6c9abacked Yes69c86.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed Yes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.717042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed No34c76.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Yes70c75.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes68c61.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.766434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9c…e776backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes69c58.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…bceebacked Yes69c57.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.144252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa060…9719backed No33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.057876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7606…ade4backed Yes69c50.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No29c49.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07e…9851backed Yes68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2537…3716backed Yes69c44.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No30c39.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.765433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa401…1efebacked Yes69c37.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2fa…055abacked Yes70c37.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd082…29e4backed Yes77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d6d…7ce6backed Yes70c34.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes70c34.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.283658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes68c32.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.358543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95b…1692backed Yes66c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.887552%39 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650b…4f90backed Yes70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd422…cf05backed Yes71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69556.8%54 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.