Champions League · resolved market
Seattle Sounders vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd92468776166ee7c2706086ef94a29a5f7f4b5a77a6dac73998c16316a4ee34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 6,615$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.38 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 63c | 3,061$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 31c | 1,700$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 60c | 1,006$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.95 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…b2f6backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fe6cbacked Yes | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49b…83a7backed No | 43c | 849.02$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e1…0492backed No | 45c | 790$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 45c | 701.5$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…bbc9backed Yes | 57c | 680$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…2dcdbacked No | 45c | 575$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 57c | 454.83$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.42 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…cc74backed No | 45c | 420$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 74c | 405.89$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 46c | 334.57$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…c804backed No | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8f51backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…a22fbacked Yes | 57c | 175$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…40a7backed Yes | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Yes | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 51c | 140.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 66c | 96.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 48c | 46.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…b979backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 57c | 34.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 51c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…b04dbacked Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.