Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3194b9df9e7d16cd39720e42efe68667fcc9d2029a0290dfc130370915b13ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 67c | 57,509$38,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,171.78 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 14,690$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.57 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 34c | 14,462$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 33c | 11,029$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.08 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 7,084$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.03 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 72c | 6,530$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.05 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 5,913$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 67c | 2,389$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.51 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 1,893$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.18 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 23c | 1,012$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 34c | 809$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 37c | 533.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 482.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…907abacked Over | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 66c | 180.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 66c | 172$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…c3d5backed Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 66c | 138$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 33c | 120.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 114.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 25c | 97.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 24c | 96.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Under | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…fa93backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 25c | 55.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 34c | 50.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 77c | 48.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…d894backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 33c | 31.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 63c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.