TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Under43c39,279$16,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,396.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c8,647$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.552,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over56c4,343$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.3952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1408251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over57c1,699$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over35c1,253$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.847345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under67c1,019$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over57c605$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8517651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c570.76$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over57c531.19$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over56c435$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under45c385$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17113152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17113648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17116851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c272.53$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…bd8abacked Under43c220$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over5c210$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under77c201.69$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.694146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over57c190$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.311550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over50c167.1$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.58148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.512453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.57746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.511953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.511448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over57c147.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8716448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…1c5cbacked Over57c145$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under64c130.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.515045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under43c123.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.215556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f2…5648backed Over58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over41c111.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.794070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over46c110.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1211144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under42c107.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Over57c102$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.141457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c93.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Over57c87.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e1…5612backed Over60c84.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Over57c83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over57c72.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4214452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Over58c71.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Over59c69.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Over56c68.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over42c62.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.172123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…8a80backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e8…e615backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…ff84backed Over57c58.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.823154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over55c54.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.