Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3634e9905e2e468a98e36888fa56cb555dae1d16c77e430df77eaf7f5a873ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 6,454$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.93 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 76c | 2,592$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.98 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 61c | 2,104$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.97 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 34c | 881$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 79c | 844.75$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 21c | 631$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.86 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 39c | 604.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.79 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 29c | 602.82$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 70c | 559$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 56c | 506.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 74c | 403.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 329.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 44c | 204.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 188$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 80c | 177$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 116.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Under | 48c | 115.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 80c | 114$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 111.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 80c | 82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 52c | 76.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 48c | 61.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 57.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 52.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 63c | 51.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 44.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 71c | 36.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…28abbacked Under | 50c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 49c | 31.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Over | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.