Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ae738c3baf4d0a97029fbe0d4eb32b3051cd9f1c5db0d1558db789792df1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf933…8a76backed Under | 18c | 4,497$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 23c | 3,071$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked Over | 75c | 1,489$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 18c | 1,144$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.15 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 23c | 999.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.95 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 16c | 993.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.94 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 23c | 951.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.87 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 21c | 949.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.62 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Under | 19c | 882.05$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.46 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…5776backed Under | 21c | 706.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Over | 78c | 640.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 23c | 570.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.97 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 18c | 395.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.67 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 70c | 386.78$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 18c | 361.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.33 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 20c | 225.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Over | 54c | 216.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 21c | 210.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Under | 50c | 200.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…b227backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 46c | 190.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 22c | 169.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 47c | 168.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 76c | 161.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 18c | 161.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…17aabacked Over | 78c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed Under | 20c | 126.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…3ec9backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 21c | 120.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 114.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 37c | 100.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…2814backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 53c | 94.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under | 57c | 89.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 76c | 69.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -24%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 23c | 61.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…41f0backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 22c | 47.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 46c | 41.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Over | 53c | 39.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…94e2backed Over | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…31f5backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.