TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Osorioof Osorio, Siniakova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Osorio79c62,981$49,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,408.3580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Siniakova26c25,699$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,76511943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Siniakova37c16,640$6,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.821,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Osorio64c14,455$9,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,181.472,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Osorio42c10,705$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,209.0811633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Siniakova42c8,713$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.9165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Osorio61c7,179$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.874645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Osorio63c6,940$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.838,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Osorio50c6,011$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.432,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Osorio68c5,849$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.9557249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Siniakova44c5,718$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Siniakova32c5,040$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Siniakova40c5,034$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.114,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Siniakova38c4,369$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Siniakova33c4,355$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.6911530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Siniakova48c4,200$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01645036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Siniakova58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3205354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Siniakova58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3202347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Siniakova51c3,644$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Siniakova56c3,436$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9137248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Osorio59c3,226$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Osorio42c2,991$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.823126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Osorio59c2,756$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.934153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Siniakova39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Siniakova39c2,381$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Siniakova56c2,306$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Siniakova39c2,301$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.913,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Siniakova46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Osorio57c1,965$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.8769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…9f55backed Osorio60c1,958$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Siniakova52c1,430$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova46c1,315$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.442,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Siniakova58c1,234$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7165223.1%12 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Siniakova40c1,231$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.551,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Siniakova38c1,208$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Osorio58c1,200$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Osorio43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Siniakova46c1,172$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Siniakova44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Osorio64c1,107$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.111872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Siniakova58c1,076$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.0831753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Siniakova43c1,037$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.7297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Siniakova43c1,025$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.651850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Siniakova2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siniakova31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Osorio48c897.3$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.751,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Siniakova57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Osorio42c866.34$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.421,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Siniakova33c861.61$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Siniakova58c775.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Siniakova49c762.63$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.315731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Siniakova32c677.46$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.492,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Osorio59c659.76$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Siniakova38c611.43$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.187644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Osorio43c580.14$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Osorio69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siniakova43c576.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.321,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Osorio62c567.74$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7426158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Siniakova43c561.77$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Siniakova57c520.34$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5911242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Siniakova58c520.24$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.741,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Siniakova29c479.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9416132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Osorio54c467.68$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Siniakova58c459.28$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Osorio43c450.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6229533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Osorio59c401.14$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4724350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Siniakova32c374.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9618644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Siniakova57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Siniakova37c345.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8765840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Osorio56c341.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Osorio59c338.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3447946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Osorio61c331.66$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.918651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Siniakova38c328.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9318932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8177…be85backed Siniakova5c303.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Siniakova35c295.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Siniakova45c286$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Osorio73c279.56$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Siniakova45c272.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7538739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Osorio62c265.4$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.426462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Siniakova58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Siniakova42c256.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5626847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Osorio43c251.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Siniakova41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Siniakova57c242$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.946851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Siniakova57c241.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.947552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Siniakova48c234.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Osorio44c220.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.991,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Osorio55c217.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.372,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Osorio63c216.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdefa…e9e3backed Siniakova35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Siniakova45c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9551539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Siniakova48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Siniakova54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10816044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Osorio61c198.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.367236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Osorio68c196.31$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8230750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Siniakova52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Osorio59c190$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Siniakova57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Siniakova58c174.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9825152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Siniakova58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.