CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd744fcc6ccc227a6690a5ed340d6b4f48096b87a8d1fd50156d2fa944e0ca873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 49c | 101,067$49,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,513.55 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 72,142$36,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,613.08 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 50c | 24,679$12,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,339.34 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 15,906$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.94 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 51c | 5,080$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.02 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Under | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Over | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.97 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 898.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 740.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 311.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Under | 51c | 276.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 237.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Under | 51c | 176.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Over | 46c | 112.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 52c | 111.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 104.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 97.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 59c | 95.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 51c | 92.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 52c | 67.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 17c | 60.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 49c | 50.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Under | 50c | 48.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…ddcbbacked Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Over | 53c | 46.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…acfbbacked Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…0012backed Over | 50c | 40.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…4bbebacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…0687backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…77b1backed Over | 51c | 37.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Under | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb0…8cc7backed Under | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Over | 51c | 25.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…2de7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.