CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e0973f37f34501d555475b4363ff167f345171d7b96a3bc2c24a3c334044ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ | 37c | 6,198$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.73 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…7b3abacked MOUZ | 35c | 5,590$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…13dabacked G2 | 65c | 5,590$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked G2 | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 63c | 1,811$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.92 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,287$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.35 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed G2 | 63c | 907.47$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 36c | 737.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 | 59c | 634.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ | 41c | 634.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed G2 | 66c | 605.63$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed MOUZ | 37c | 506.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed MOUZ | 37c | 221.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 | 65c | 181.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed MOUZ | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed MOUZ | 36c | 127$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 122.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed MOUZ | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed G2 | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked G2 | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed MOUZ | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed MOUZ | 35c | 68.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…04f8backed G2 | 67c | 60.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed G2 | 64c | 46.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed MOUZ | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked G2 | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5cd3backed MOUZ | 54c | 25.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed G2 | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…daacbacked G2 | 64c | 16.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.