NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5a6dd98f3e8eaa7a88e0e976144bff82487c58d29970e52f393f6bf2e3acf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Under | 52c | 54,262$28,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,066.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 53c | 52,914$27,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,834.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 50,463$25,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,437.67 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 34,996$16,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,455.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 53c | 19,378$10,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,270.13 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 48c | 16,608$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,636.16 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 47c | 14,198$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537.82 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 48c | 6,834$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.29 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 6,216$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…19cfbacked Over | 47c | 5,783$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 4,651$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 47c | 3,113$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.86 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 2,950$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 46c | 1,662$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.36 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,363$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,021$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 940.09$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 832$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 56c | 821.61$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.1 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 318.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 254.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 211.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 205.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…8f90backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Under | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Over | 47c | 181.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 160.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 149.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 126.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 46c | 122.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 110.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 103.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 48c | 92.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Under | 53c | 91.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 83.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 48c | 74.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 69.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 36c | 65.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 47c | 55.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 48c | 45.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 42.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 48c | 38.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 50c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 46c | 35.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Over | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 55c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. PelicansHeat won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Simone Fontecchio: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Heat won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.