Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87aa85020ef186561eee5b24c54405095c256193cb4e04c4ec3ac555bc5f5ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 42c | 44,639$18,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,916.96 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 28,604$16,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,590.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 7c | 11,500$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 10,119$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 59c | 8,222$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 41c | 2,367$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.92 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 2,012$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 1c | 1,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 1,310$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.17 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.99 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 60c | 995.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 617.82$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 602.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.46 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 556.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.59 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 510.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 60c | 330.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 294.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 199.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 41c | 121$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 58c | 87.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 77c | 69.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 53c | 66.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 63c | 63.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 40c | 54.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked No | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 62c | 52.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…1f43backed No | 28c | 46.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 33.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 33.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…8571backed No | 58c | 25.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 60c | 25.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes | 69c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…93a8backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed No | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?No won
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.