Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96895c980a6e48421cb3352e2d5390cad4a0d8df3868832a813b197d8b032aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.14 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 987.83$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 900$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 895.94$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 655.01$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.91 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 564.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 207.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 157.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 131.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 51.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 42.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 38.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)this page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay PhoenixGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.