Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c8f255be6db3ee846c6a3095ca0fc9b68f571f300cfb1d526c266758346138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 13,423$6,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,443.06 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 54c | 3,095$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.39 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 50c | 804.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 749.14$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Over | 53c | 422.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 212.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 47c | 194.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…cf6ebacked Over | 54c | 186.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 130.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 111.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 45c | 48.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 42.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 55c | 19.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5this page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay PhoenixGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.