Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbad75eff4ded337bdb0f10758c51b6a8d36f61cff0e82844b8381738a2aade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 15,615$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.49 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 5,177$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.45 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 55c | 1,195$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.19 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 803.63$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 222.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 146.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 54c | 127.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 111.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5this page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay PhoenixGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.