Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9212bac43f9b1223e4c28ee2c98ccb4525ece3fc741d89900774bc0c2bab1d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 4,205$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.3 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 1,479$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.07 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 1,355$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 940.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 77c | 692.6$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…cb24backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 690.14$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 662.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ffe8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 660.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 646.36$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 16c | 581.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 422.16$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 377.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 304.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 19c | 296.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 19c | 273.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 262$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 251.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 246.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 239$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 235.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 200.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 179.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 164.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 55c | 140.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 111.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 31c | 104.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 67c | 93.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…9541backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 92.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 71.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 64.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 62.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 39c | 61.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 59.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 26c | 56.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 40.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 32.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…ac80backed Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 30.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Green Bay Phoenix | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 20.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.