TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Alabama Jaguarsof South Alabama Jaguars, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles5c5,739$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.161,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles3c2,557$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.645,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c1,984$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles2c1,901$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.022,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Alabama Jaguars48c1,459$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles41c1,308$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.372,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked South Alabama Jaguars68c1,069$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.121,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars70c1,032$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles3c814.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles30c785.8$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.121,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c785.14$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles53c686$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars80c572.8$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.524,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars56c546.59$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed South Alabama Jaguars48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8313350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles55c489.23$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles11c404.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.472,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles30c394.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Alabama Jaguars70c372$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.922,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed South Alabama Jaguars50c355.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.666636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles10c354.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.994,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.661,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles30c283.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.653,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked South Alabama Jaguars47c272.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2512364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles8c252.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed South Alabama Jaguars47c214.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles51c207.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked South Alabama Jaguars50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked South Alabama Jaguars48c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed South Alabama Jaguars67c199.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles53c196.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles8c166.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles53c142.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles32c136.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.491,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8986…5631backed South Alabama Jaguars47c131.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked South Alabama Jaguars67c130$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed South Alabama Jaguars67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.67467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed South Alabama Jaguars48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Alabama Jaguars52c110.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed South Alabama Jaguars50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…fa80backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd887…808dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c89.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked South Alabama Jaguars49c83.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4713561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Alabama Jaguars48c74.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.122,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c65.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6113350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed South Alabama Jaguars69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles30c57.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.421,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed South Alabama Jaguars75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed South Alabama Jaguars49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8925152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed South Alabama Jaguars45c37.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles32c32.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.532560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed South Alabama Jaguars49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed South Alabama Jaguars52c24.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.642669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed South Alabama Jaguars59c20.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed South Alabama Jaguars50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1038345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed South Alabama Jaguars76c18.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.