Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d4b2d400696829b35b40e3a2c53aa7c19a90f53871bff0ae49fe804c2035fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 12,673$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 6,612$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 4,841$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.97 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 74c | 3,046$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 2,237$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.71 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 73c | 1,957$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 26c | 1,745$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.77 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 26c | 1,636$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 72c | 1,561$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.53 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 1,205$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 65c | 1,200$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Yes | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 650.13$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 619.31$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 68c | 593.68$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 17c | 474$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.24 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 422.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Yes | 68c | 412.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 399.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 68c | 371.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 72c | 332.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 246.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 72c | 242.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 20c | 200.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 193.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 25c | 189.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 27c | 186.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 182.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 181.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 141.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…80d2backed No | 27c | 138.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Yes | 20c | 124.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 80c | 115.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…c6e0backed Yes | 71c | 115.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 73c | 114.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 109.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 52c | 91.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…ce1fbacked Yes | 48c | 86.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 73c | 85.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Yes | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Yes | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 66c | 67.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 66.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…4bc6backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 46c | 53.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes | 47c | 47.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 26c | 45.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…0fd5backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 71c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Yes | 72c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 73c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.