Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1770f94ba6a3e69bad059f6d8bd79d7469388961d5a473610d2b272d0fe11ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 28c | 19,307$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.98 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 9,971$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 72c | 8,772$6,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 75c | 5,666$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 1,972$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.25 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 25c | 1,249$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 1,099$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 576.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Under | 52c | 541$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 35c | 429.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 71c | 415.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 351.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 347.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 35c | 286.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 47c | 246.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 68c | 233.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 24c | 229.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 25c | 225.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 151.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 133.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 72c | 127.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 67c | 110.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 75c | 106.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 30c | 103.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 33c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Over | 29c | 97.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 33c | 94.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 26c | 68.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…08afbacked Over | 27c | 66.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 61.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 33c | 61.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 56c | 59.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 25c | 53.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 74c | 48.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…cc51backed Under | 74c | 47.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Under | 73c | 42.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Over | 29c | 42.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Over | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Over | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 75c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Under | 71c | 37.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 35.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 30c | 32.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 74c | 31.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 74c | 27.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 72c | 27.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.