TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,899.9760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c25,991$13,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,758.352,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over45c25,202$11,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,8957266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c12,797$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.792,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c9,657$5,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under55c9,565$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,21517454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9929748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c5,547$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,358$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c3,191$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under58c2,599$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over40c2,305$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.311,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over54c2,240$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.41947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Under46c2,240$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c2,196$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.231,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under53c2,021$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.621,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over52c1,524$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.499556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c1,509$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c1,466$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.423,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Over51c1,348$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.34438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c1,275$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.251,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under67c1,101$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c930.24$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c892.32$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c630.13$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over48c595.74$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Over55c546.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0416440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over61c530$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.91,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.115154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over51c465.09$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c388$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.641,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under55c343.91$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1926638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under19c301.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2314636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c299.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over48c298.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c258.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over45c242.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.364553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over44c226.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.46145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…fa9fbacked Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5440…369ebacked Over51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8218…86a7backed Over51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74d3…d3e4backed Under50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e85…328bbacked Over48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under8c194.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066a…642cbacked Over51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc1…aa8bbacked Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6da…235ebacked Over51c186$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba7…d27abacked Under50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c175.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c174.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Over51c166.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.523839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c161.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.133,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under53c158.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over54c153.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.79348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c144.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.081,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over48c137.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over53c131.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7632952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under48c128.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1148852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Under46c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.26333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under56c115.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.330146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.39758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over55c102.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.016953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under55c99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over55c97.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9450648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c68.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c68.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under36c68.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over53c65.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6533653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over53c63.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1739047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over47c60.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9238251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c56.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c52.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over48c51.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over57c50.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.873,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under53c50.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over51c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4112040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8917444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Under53c47.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4218150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c47.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over28c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.129349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1823651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under36c39.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c39.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb314…aacbbacked Over48c37.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c30.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.792,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c30.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.112841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.