TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c61,990$30,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,379.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c55,535$28,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,559.4760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over52c38,440$19,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,557.237266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Over50c32,182$16,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,090.8310459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under48c20,241$9,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6967240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c19,435$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,427.322,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c12,071$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under51c11,770$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c10,817$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.121,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under27c9,908$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.361,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under46c9,300$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.012944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c8,600$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c7,347$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c6,178$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c6,104$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,103$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c5,812$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.121,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c5,487$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under49c5,139$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.1742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c4,126$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd55b…5ba8backed Under49c3,851$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b3…c4efbacked Over51c3,850$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c3,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over54c3,471$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.5629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c3,068$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,028$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1084…21f2backed Under47c2,726$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.45825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,528$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under3c2,281$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7827759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c1,582$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.423,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c1,555$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.1451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over54c1,069$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under1c1,037$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.537949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…0df6backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under11c951$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Over55c906.49$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.427853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under32c682.6$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c600.03$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ac…b57fbacked Over54c560$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over55c545.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c518.75$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c512$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c507$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2940146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under15c450$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8514636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c18…e0c2backed Under47c426.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c331.91$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Over69c318.48$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed Over10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701030%3 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick9cpaid+362.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c247.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.841,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c244.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c210.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08da…656dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c197.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over53c186.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.25437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under6c169.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…914dbacked Over56c143.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c140.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.782440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under48c124.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9662844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c116.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.833,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over57c106.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5319838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under50c93.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c92.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78d…7a18backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over52c84.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8140849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292a…5d78backed Over54c83.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.262665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Under47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355036%18 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over53c68.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4649358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c62.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8251651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under51c58.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5218250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under50c57.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7948852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c55.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over49c53.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c49.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.952,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.