TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jazzof Trail Blazers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz53c6,000$3,180 inWon+$2,82031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Trail Blazers48c3,943$1,900 inLost-$1,90017550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz53c3,700$1,961 inWon+$1,7395648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Trail Blazers47c3,509$1,649 inLost-$1,649.115152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Jazz55c3,049$1,682 inWon+$1,367.275846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Trail Blazers47c2,110$992 inLost-$991.754246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Trail Blazers47c1,093$514 inLost-$513.8715147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz49c925.56$453 inWon+$472.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers45c916$412 inLost-$412.295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers45c828.49$373 inLost-$372.821,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Trail Blazers45c800$360 inLost-$36029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jazz53c235$125 inWon+$110.4523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Trail Blazers51c210.94$107 inLost-$1075952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Trail Blazers47c208.54$98 inLost-$9822945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Trail Blazers51c195.45$100 inLost-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Jazz52c192.31$100 inWon+$92.3119741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers47c191.26$90 inLost-$89.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfc…1456backed Trail Blazers51c140$71 inLost-$71.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Trail Blazers51c78.43$40 inLost-$4015245.4%69 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers47c73$34 inLost-$34.3166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz48c32.04$15 inWon+$16.662,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jazz56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.7960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Jazz49c20.41$10 inWon+$10.4197049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz56c20.18$11 inWon+$8.8829645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Jazz53c20$11 inWon+$9.488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.