Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Clement Tabur vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238921833ac72695daa39e5c60276e25d5596891155fbc40d1ad793eaf5c5ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taburof Tabur, Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Echargui | 47c | 931.79$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Tabur | 52c | 386.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tabur | 54c | 340.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Echargui | 26c | 333.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Tabur | 72c | 314.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Tabur | 67c | 278$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tabur | 72c | 230.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…10eabacked Tabur | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tabur | 73c | 177.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tabur | 74c | 176.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Echargui | 29c | 173.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Tabur | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Tabur | 77c | 122.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Echargui | 36c | 113.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Echargui | 18c | 105.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Echargui | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tabur | 79c | 98.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Echargui | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Echargui | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tabur | 69c | 50.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Echargui | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Echargui | 32c | 39.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Echargui | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Tabur | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Tabur | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.