Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24069be0a571f65c586d0069b0af89d92b5c7273d407855a9ed48499725cd25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 4,801$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.9 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 3,184$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 3,000$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 2,957$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.57 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 1,541$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 1,060$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 523.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 444$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 154.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 97.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 62.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 42.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)this page
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesYoungstown State Penguins won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 155.5Over won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.