Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6506c125672d323818c48339177645d517dd530bd2d0bac4b097799183ea2d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Youngstown State Penguins, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 21c | 2,969$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 2,290$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.29 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 13c | 1,527$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 46c | 1,330$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 64c | 456.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 47c | 421.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 33c | 417.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 22c | 355.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 340$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 67c | 269$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 47c | 232.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 36c | 226.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 199.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 194.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 64c | 170.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 166.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 166.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 14c | 148.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 30c | 139$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Youngstown State Penguins | 37c | 119.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 117.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 67c | 112.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Youngstown State Penguins | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 31c | 96.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9db5backed Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 95.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Youngstown State Penguins | 41c | 90.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 84.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 37c | 83.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 23c | 79.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Youngstown State Penguins | 34c | 78.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 76.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 57.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 73c | 43.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Youngstown State Penguins | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 25.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 21.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesthis page
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 155.5Over won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.