Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da3e8bb872c8bb67e1908154e5fac7a35851954613fb0da8d11d9da19623452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Rider Broncs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 4,218$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 45c | 4,051$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 1,922$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 60c | 1,115$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rider Broncs | 46c | 1,093$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.59 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Rider Broncs | 47c | 960$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Rider Broncs | 48c | 503.37$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.15 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 396.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rider Broncs | 47c | 289.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rider Broncs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rider Broncs | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rider Broncs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 180.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 175.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rider Broncs | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rider Broncs | 45c | 121.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 111.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rider Broncs | 46c | 88.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 66.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Rider Broncs | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 58.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rider Broncs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Rider Broncs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-4.5)this page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider BroncsMount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 138.5Under won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-5.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.