TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Hampton Pirates (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina A&T Aggiesof Hampton Pirates, North Carolina A&T Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Hampton Pirates47c5,865$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed North Carolina A&T Aggies53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5835151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed North Carolina A&T Aggies54c1,732$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.541,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina A&T Aggies35c1,432$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.4442934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hampton Pirates60c1,104$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Carolina A&T Aggies46c887.92$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.772,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hampton Pirates54c846.95$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.681,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37655749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Hampton Pirates50c793.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed North Carolina A&T Aggies52c381.76$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hampton Pirates62c299$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hampton Pirates50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies52c236$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2823948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hampton Pirates69c209.87$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.531,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Hampton Pirates53c206.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5315055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hampton Pirates72c201.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.392,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.674,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies55c166$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.723754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies46c165.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3510043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hampton Pirates46c147.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0330746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Hampton Pirates52c139.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Hampton Pirates80c130$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10412230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina A&T Aggies47c128.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.154,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hampton Pirates48c100.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.191,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Hampton Pirates65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6531647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Hampton Pirates48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hampton Pirates48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed North Carolina A&T Aggies52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5618241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e13…d6d0backed North Carolina A&T Aggies54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5768…a918backed North Carolina A&T Aggies54c88.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina A&T Aggies50c82.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.022,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies52c70.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.262669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina A&T Aggies32c69.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies47c59.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina A&T Aggies32c55.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.781,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed North Carolina A&T Aggies32c44.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick23cpaid+289.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Hampton Pirates48c43.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed North Carolina A&T Aggies47c41.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1113350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies44c40.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9634343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Hampton Pirates46c39.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hampton Pirates49c29.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Hampton Pirates71c28.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.643237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed North Carolina A&T Aggies52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.523253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ef…d91dbacked Hampton Pirates48c21.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.