TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskaya

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Muchovaof Muchova, Kalinskaya
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…b8f7backed Muchova62c60,476$37,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,059.6113754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Muchova62c50,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.9627063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kalinskaya13c43,412$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,843.3780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kalinskaya38c29,973$11,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,32831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kalinskaya34c25,412$8,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5862,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Muchova71c24,928$17,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,130.751,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Kalinskaya39c16,908$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,543.784645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kalinskaya24c16,497$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Kalinskaya40c13,496$5,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,365.199545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Muchova61c10,568$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.111,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Muchova63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kalinskaya35c8,493$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kalinskaya38c7,501$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.8681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Kalinskaya38c6,774$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.243036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Kalinskaya20c6,100$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1902520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Muchova63c5,778$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.838,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Kalinskaya37c5,777$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.4933955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kalinskaya37c5,291$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.5276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kalinskaya37c5,010$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.054,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Kalinskaya37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.987147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Muchova61c4,729$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.3176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Muchova59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23028338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya35c2,561$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.832,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kalinskaya35c2,274$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.8744754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Kalinskaya28c1,786$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.541,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Kalinskaya40c1,601$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Muchova79c1,567$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9530645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Muchova67c1,564$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.123,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Kalinskaya37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Muchova78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Kalinskaya41c1,228$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Muchova62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Muchova63c1,120$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kalinskaya37c1,106$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.227,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b5…6374backed Muchova78c1,100$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Muchova63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Kalinskaya36c952.38$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Kalinskaya27c884.28$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24113435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Muchova76c838.5$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.242564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Muchova62c617.13$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5110547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Muchova76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Muchova77c538.96$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kalinskaya35c525.25$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.841,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kalinskaya38c505$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.931,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Kalinskaya4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Muchova72c428$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Muchova61c428$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9221147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Muchova62c398.47$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5113138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Kalinskaya38c378.79$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.943435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kalinskaya35c360$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.449632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Muchova60c330.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.747946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Muchova61c329.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.817955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Kalinskaya37c320$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Kalinskaya25c319.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Muchova71c310$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Muchova59c309.32$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Muchova74c306.76$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Kalinskaya38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…8527backed Muchova63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Kalinskaya24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7126833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe940…b9a6backed Kalinskaya41c298.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Kalinskaya32c296.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0732031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Kalinskaya25c294.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7629063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Muchova73c292.47$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Muchova76c288.42$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.437,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…44dfbacked Kalinskaya22c280$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.27636.8%28 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Muchova74c268.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.792,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf77…ee92backed Kalinskaya40c264.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Kalinskaya38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Muchova70c262.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5328552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Kalinskaya40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Muchova61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.918957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Muchova62c230.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7222747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kalinskaya18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Muchova76c214.48$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0352037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Muchova62c213.19$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0119043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Muchova61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7927344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked Kalinskaya38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Kalinskaya38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7619338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Muchova63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Muchova63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7426247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kalinskaya33c195.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kalinskaya38c186$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.681,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Muchova61c184.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.019643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Kalinskaya36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Kalinskaya28c175.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…bd53backed Kalinskaya40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Muchova73c173$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.261,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd165…f2b8backed Muchova74c171.39$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.851883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Muchova65c169.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3317646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Muchova75c166$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Muchova61c164$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9615751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…ac2fbacked Muchova61c162.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Muchova62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2957349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kalinskaya37c161.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6842046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Muchova63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.27356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Kalinskaya40c157.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6335248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Kalinskaya32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4894447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Muchova75c148$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.612,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…1e5bbacked Kalinskaya38c144.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.