Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba95e6abe7d57d05dd10bc8c7ac94d6943822f97fa0e4914196bca884efdbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 49,616$24,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,336.25 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 28,000$14,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,320 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 18,177$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.93 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 5,825$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.03 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,763$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.24 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 848.42$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.76 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 53c | 804.92$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 762.8$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 601.67$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 420$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 391.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 292.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 191$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 136.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 92.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 71.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 48c | 46.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…42d7backed Under | 47c | 39.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Under | 50c | 37.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 30.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…3c79backed Under | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 145.5this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah ThunderbirdsCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 144.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-5.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.