Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0596a5ab993373dba48efdb2aefd07ebd0198f53657430e6a9daea38203fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof California Baptist Lancers, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked California Baptist Lancers | 71c | 7,178$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.49 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 4,045$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 2,958$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 2,618$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed California Baptist Lancers | 69c | 2,015$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 70c | 1,852$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.49 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 26c | 1,016$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 846.77$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 13c | 802.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 5c | 693.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 76c | 647$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 499.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 4c | 481.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 20c | 341.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 14c | 313.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 9c | 214.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 204$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 199.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 192.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed California Baptist Lancers | 74c | 186.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 179.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 145.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 113.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed California Baptist Lancers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed California Baptist Lancers | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed California Baptist Lancers | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed California Baptist Lancers | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 72.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 60.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 55.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 41.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed California Baptist Lancers | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed California Baptist Lancers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California Baptist Lancers | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 144.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 145.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-5.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.