TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins54c50,308$27,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,166.311,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers46c31,065$14,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,774.9138047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins16c7,382$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.851,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers46c6,333$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.821,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers47c5,857$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.521,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers78c4,159$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.3168769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Twins56c3,513$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.0250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers67c2,977$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.7954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Brewers42c2,498$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.0769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers45c2,307$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.382,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers46c2,172$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Twins1c2,150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Brewers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers46c1,715$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.179645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Brewers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers44c1,450$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.4888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers73c1,315$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.551,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins54c1,157$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.975,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Twins18c1,100$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers76c1,100$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins31c1,003$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.212,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Brewers71c1,000$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.61989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Twins53c986.57$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Brewers65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0828447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaac1…2248backed Brewers45c864.27$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Twins52c817.41$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.148530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brewers45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins2c741.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8346631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Brewers69c725.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0711036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Brewers28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2919348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Twins56c712.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers46c710.07$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers75c697.68$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.884,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Twins19c614.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Twins16c583$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2826847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers44c568$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0837446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Brewers46c545.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3529240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers46c523.88$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Twins6c511.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.638762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Brewers73c499.93$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.684850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins55c483.09$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.71,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Twins54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Twins55c434.97$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.236753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers58c433.36$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Twins56c384.2$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…a589backed Twins9c334.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Brewers45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.335145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…afd0backed Twins31c322.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers41c302.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7934051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins27c287.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.661,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc985…1e7dbacked Brewers60c275.18$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.172373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Brewers46c218$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Brewers45c207.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9315543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Twins56c179.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins22c150.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers49c150.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Brewers76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Brewers46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins35c121.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1917239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Twins33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b57…d285backed Brewers41c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Brewers76c103.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.917866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers43c101.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Twins23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Twins27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers48c99.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Twins56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Twins12c96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins27c90.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.036,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9622351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6103…7a65backed Twins55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Twins57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Brewers52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3124953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers44c66.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked Twins21c63.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.422740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…843abacked Brewers45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Twins21c50.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83411.8%4 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Brewers30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Brewers46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Twins55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Twins42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…b009backed Twins56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b9…0218backed Brewers45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brewers46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Brewers46c43.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5919053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Twins42c38.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Twins55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207652.6%40 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d2…ee68backed Brewers45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.334663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Brewers45c30.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9437552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c95…5825backed Brewers66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Brewers43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb64…4eb4backed Brewers71c29.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf62…227dbacked Brewers46c28.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6118850%94 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Brewers75c27.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9230740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers45c25.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8342955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Brewers67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2520954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.