MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb744322396212bf38ad618e14c94de7402a43128dd313bbf1d0d782e79abfded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 26c | 7,702$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rays | 57c | 5,687$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.39 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rays | 75c | 4,846$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.62 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 34c | 4,413$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 52c | 3,401$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 31c | 3,313$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.25 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 51c | 2,169$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 67c | 1,763$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 56c | 1,649$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.46 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 49c | 1,268$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,225$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked Rays | 50c | 1,225$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 23c | 1,184$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 66c | 1,031$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Rays | 79c | 1,008$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.31 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Rays | 63c | 876.06$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 51c | 853.58$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.25 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rays | 49c | 722.53$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays | 49c | 675.08$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Red Sox | 51c | 578.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Red Sox | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Rays | 77c | 533.08$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 21c | 528.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rays | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 74c | 480$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 49c | 471.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Rays | 50c | 449.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 394.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 51c | 392.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 58c | 384.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 50c | 374.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 372.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 55c | 360.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 48c | 358.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rays | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 46c | 350.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 48c | 293.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Rays | 49c | 275.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 241.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rays | 48c | 227.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Rays | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 49c | 204.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…818ebacked Red Sox | 50c | 203.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rays | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…3a63backed Rays | 51c | 197.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 45c | 188.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…9a59backed Rays | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…e072backed Red Sox | 50c | 166.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Red Sox | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…3115backed Red Sox | 21c | 152.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Red Sox | 29c | 150.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rays | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…74c9backed Red Sox | 29c | 144.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 69c | 110.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…43f5backed Rays | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…2e43backed Rays | 49c | 105.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed Rays | 49c | 105.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…30a8backed Rays | 49c | 104.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…de7ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 103.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fb…2d11backed Rays | 49c | 102.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…6e4fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 101.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…5efbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 101.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…bc4ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 101.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 47c | 100.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…f8abbacked Red Sox | 53c | 98.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…f400backed Red Sox | 52c | 98.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…a47abacked Rays | 49c | 97.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…9c84backed Red Sox | 53c | 96.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…37afbacked Rays | 49c | 96.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Red Sox | 50c | 96.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…b66cbacked Rays | 50c | 93.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…3458backed Rays | 49c | 93.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 33c | 93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…c129backed Rays | 49c | 92.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…25d2backed Red Sox | 52c | 92.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…ed14backed Red Sox | 52c | 89.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa997…bc99backed Red Sox | 53c | 89.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Red Sox | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…fc59backed Red Sox | 52c | 87.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…3ad2backed Red Sox | 38c | 87.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…f359backed Red Sox | 52c | 86.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 52c | 86.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.