TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philliesof Braves, Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf980…6528backed Braves49c27,665$13,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,635.9211746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Braves50c12,266$6,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,175.9714747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies51c11,794$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,779.181,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies52c11,719$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,645.4124551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Braves48c9,805$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,706.6217351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies59c9,581$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.3986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Phillies50c8,000$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,96021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Phillies51c7,800$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Braves48c5,490$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves49c5,077$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.011,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9812655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves38c4,863$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.639,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves48c4,707$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.712,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Phillies51c4,070$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.0213353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Phillies50c2,332$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.6397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Phillies51c2,050$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.55648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Phillies52c2,004$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.922642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb38…ce37backed Phillies67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Braves48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies49c1,914$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.9768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies51c1,420$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.021,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Phillies53c1,222$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.4820523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Braves2c1,031$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Phillies50c928.08$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0410746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Braves48c844.96$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5815949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Braves51c822.49$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.314047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Phillies54c752.58$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0628447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Braves37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Phillies51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.520450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Braves49c615$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies76c605.57$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.262,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves49c597.38$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.721,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Braves27c554.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Braves48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Phillies77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0826847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Phillies62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies50c483.86$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e05…27ebbacked Braves49c432.29$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Phillies53c400.01$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1887650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Braves38c400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.411,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Phillies52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6238455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…bccbbacked Braves49c379.9$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338a…259fbacked Phillies53c379.72$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bfe…62babacked Phillies52c379.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Phillies53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Braves48c358.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Phillies52c356.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9657…4faebacked Phillies54c353.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Braves49c348.73$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies71c347.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ae…6e89backed Phillies53c346.51$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.868100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x537f…7ccebacked Braves48c333.46$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38f…7e3bbacked Phillies53c329.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.061070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves48c323.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.435,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fe…ae55backed Braves49c314.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14413555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5f…7ea6backed Braves50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69af…b4f0backed Phillies51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2320150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Braves48c247.34$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Braves48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves49c206.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0815256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies65c152.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Braves33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56524.6%16 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves33c136.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Braves48c130.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Phillies54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.371,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Phillies52c116.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8343250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26a…8519backed Phillies51c113.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Phillies53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Braves51c107$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5740629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Phillies52c103$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.447749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Phillies49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5141751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Braves45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b9…148dbacked Phillies68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Braves37c97.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Phillies52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1574356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Phillies53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.349157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Braves49c92.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.491,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves48c89.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Braves48c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6228453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Braves49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Phillies51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a14…da4abacked Phillies52c62.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.882360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Braves49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.449450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae03…4726backed Phillies52c58.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.