Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe730768f4d32e8764d625394f0dcd9fc75b28f26118f614d0654eebe6b560bc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 73c | 17,788$13,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.26 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 9c | 2,699$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.67 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 75c | 2,487$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.62 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 1,760$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 30c | 511.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 64c | 482.17$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 448.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 67c | 374.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 354.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 17c | 345.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 314$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 27c | 305.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Yes | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 9c | 263.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 27c | 147.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 113.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 35c | 112.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 34c | 103.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Yes | 76c | 73.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 61c | 65.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 26c | 62.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 27c | 56.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 75c | 53.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…6f8dbacked No | 28c | 49.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…5113backed No | 42c | 38.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 36c | 33.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 66c | 31.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 62c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…61b5backed Yes | 70c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 68c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…c549backed Yes | 79c | 14.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.