Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeed067aa12d66391a8aa5ffe9b8256e443652ef84228d5a78aa552ba1565e1fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,262$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.14 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,364$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 21c | 1,005$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 544.24$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…5f34backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 207$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 205.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 9c | 124$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 108.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.