MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ffb5dfe0c10925bc4804168429b1a8c9637028e5a267bbea0a9c4a73b09d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Braves, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves | 57c | 6,888$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.94 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Braves | 60c | 6,324$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.7 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 43c | 5,916$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins | 39c | 4,077$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.83 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 43c | 3,987$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.58 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 40c | 3,987$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.19 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Braves | 56c | 3,724$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.88 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 41c | 3,570$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.3 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 44c | 3,355$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 43c | 3,168$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.89 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 35c | 2,662$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.25 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 58c | 2,084$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 62c | 2,000$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,808$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Braves | 2c | 1,750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 50c | 1,489$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Braves | 28c | 1,333$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 57c | 1,300$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Marlins | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 51c | 836.43$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Braves | 59c | 796.82$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.26 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Braves | 27c | 723.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 50c | 449.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 43c | 417.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 73c | 310.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Braves | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Braves | 40c | 287.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Marlins | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Marlins | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 41c | 269.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Braves | 56c | 267.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Braves | 60c | 264.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Marlins | 36c | 220.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Braves | 35c | 217.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Braves | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Braves | 58c | 200.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…4bcabacked Braves | 67c | 185.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 41c | 173.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Braves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 45c | 165.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Braves | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 41c | 119.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Braves | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 65c | 106$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Braves | 59c | 102.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 15c | 102.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…e732backed Braves | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 55c | 68.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…7116backed Marlins | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Marlins | 42c | 50.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Braves | 56c | 48.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…0711backed Marlins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Marlins | 43c | 44.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Braves | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Braves | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 41c | 41.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Braves | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 45c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Braves | 35c | 31.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…1981backed Braves | 39c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Marlins | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marlins | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…a14bbacked Braves | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Braves | 69c | 15.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.